Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:37:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77b5…e344
crypto · 73 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$20
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses35 / 37
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day103.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 61¢ 38¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$12 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 38% -12.6%
≤30d 72 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 38% -12.6%
≤90d 72 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 38% -12.6%
all 72 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 38% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 38% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 29% -21.0%
15% -30.9% 19% -28.6%
20% -37.6% 15% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.89 · official $3.02 · 216 history records