trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 50% | 50% | +15.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 50% | 50% | +15.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 46% | 46% | -21.9% |
| all | 14 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 50% | 50% | -20.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 50% | -20.8% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 50% | -28.4% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 43% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 29% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $237 | $195 | −$42 (-18%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $57 | $65 | +$8 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | Jun 17 | $20 | +$12 | +60% |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $269 | −$14 | -5% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $139 | +$69 | +50% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $12 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $152 | +$142 | +93% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $98 | +$41 | +42% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 11 | $55 | −$55 | -99% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Mar 21 | $629 | −$501 | -80% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 03 | $55 | +$14 | +26% |