Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:17:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
77 0x77bf…1b02 crypto 1732 markets active 1d ago coverage 51d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$46 (-3%) realized −$46 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate40%699W / 1033L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day34.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$41
14 days−$51
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -29.2% -35.9% 26% 26% -35.6%
≤30d 629 -10.2% -18.8% 31% 31% -19.2%
≤90d 1732 -7.6% -16.4% 40% 38% -16.2%
all 1732 -7.6% -16.4% 40% 38% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 38% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 36% -24.2%
15% -31.7% 33% -31.5%
20% -38.4% 31% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.3 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses699 / 1033
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1732 / 1732
History coverage51d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1732 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$3 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +252%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records