Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77d4…cf09
crypto · 77 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$13 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized+$10
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses25 / 36
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions16
Markets (closed)61 / 77
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 16 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $8 $6 −$1 (-19%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 43¢ 81¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+90%)
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+58%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? Yes 21¢ 12¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-46%)
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 12¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+29%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? No 9¢ 4¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-51%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 20¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes 24¢ 17¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-29%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? No 15¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-37%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? No 42¢ 14¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-67%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? Yes 10¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-65%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Yes 22¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? No 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +307%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +381%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +132%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +144%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$14 +300%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -89%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +126%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +135%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +143%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +116%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +236%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 40% +$6
other 36% −$5
politics 9% −$5
world 5% −$3
sports 5% +$6
weather 2% +$4
tech 1% −$2
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 20¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 75¢ $2 8h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 8¢ $2 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +2.6% -7.2% 41% 36% -2.4%
≤30d 61 +2.6% -7.2% 41% 36% -2.4%
≤90d 61 +2.6% -7.2% 41% 36% -2.4%
all 61 +2.6% -7.2% 41% 36% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 36% -2.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 33% -11.7%
15% -24.2% 31% -20.3%
20% -31.6% 30% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.67 · official $34.58 (match) · 124 history records