Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:49:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77e1…35c0
crypto · 1392 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$122 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses881 / 592
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1473 / 1392
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day216.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1473 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$85
7 days−$94
14 days−$114
30 days−$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 412 -19.6% -27.3% 47% 12% -21.8%
≤30d 1473 -5.0% -14.1% 60% 32% -15.0%
≤90d 1473 -5.0% -14.1% 60% 32% -15.0%
all 1473 -5.0% -14.1% 60% 32% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover216.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 32% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 11% -23.1%
15% -29.8% 2% -30.5%
20% -36.7% 0% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records