Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:42:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77e7…234a
crypto · 291 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$637 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$637 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$637
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses222 / 104
Open positions0
Markets (closed)326 / 291
History coverage117d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$141
7 days−$141
14 days−$193
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $58 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$5 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$5 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$8 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $73 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$514
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -1.4% -10.8% 6% 4% -20.4%
≤30d 58 -2.7% -12.0% 9% 7% -24.0%
≤90d 147 +8.4% -1.9% 40% 10% -16.1%
all 326 +5.7% -4.4% 68% 7% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 7% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 5% -21.8%
15% -21.9% 2% -29.4%
20% -29.5% 2% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records