Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77ea…2ef8
other · 193 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$6 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses11 / 182
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)193 / 193
History coverage219d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 0 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Jun 11 $1 $0 -3%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -3%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $1 $0 -1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 08 $3 $0 -0%
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30? Jun 08 $1 $0 -3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 06 $1 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? Jun 06 $1 $0 -3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 05 $1 $0 -1%
Will Apple announce all six next-generation operating systems during t Jun 05 $1 $0 -9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? Jun 04 $1 $0 -1%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 04 $1 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 03 $1 $0 +8%
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Jun 03 $1 $0 -11%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 02 $1 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 02 $1 $0 -2%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? Jun 01 $1 $0 -1%
Trump on $250 bill this year? Jun 01 $1 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30? May 30 $1 $0 -4%
Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election? May 29 $1 $0 -17%
Will Solana dip to $70 in May? May 29 $1 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? May 28 $1 $0 -1%
Will jL win a trophy by June 30? May 28 $1 $0 -3%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? May 27 $1 $0 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? May 27 $1 $0 -1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 26 $2 $0 -0%
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? May 26 $1 $0 -3%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? May 25 $1 $0 -2%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 25 $1 $0 -1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? May 23 $1 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? May 22 $1 $0 -0%
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? May 22 $1 $0 -3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 21 $1 $0 -1%
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Governme May 21 $1 $0 -14%
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% May 20 $1 $0 -4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 20 $1 $0 -1%
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? May 19 $1 $0 -1%
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? May 19 $1 $0 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? May 18 $1 $0 -1%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? May 18 $1 $0 -4%
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31? May 16 $1 $0 -1%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19? May 16 $1 $0 -13%
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? May 15 $1 $0 -23%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their May 14 $1 $0 -2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? May 14 $1 $0 -1%
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 13 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 28% −$3
politics 21% −$1
world 13% −$1
crypto 11% $0
tech 9% −$1
culture 6% $0
economics 6% $0
finance 3% $0
sports 3% $0
weather 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $1 6h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? SELL No 93¢ $1 6h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 6h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 94¢ $1 6h
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? SELL No 93¢ $1 30h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House SELL No 82¢ $1 30h
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? BUY No 94¢ $1 32h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House BUY No 83¢ $1 32h
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? SELL Yes $0 32h
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? SELL No 91¢ $1 32h
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? SELL Yes 90¢ $1 3d
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 3d
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 3d
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $1 4d
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30? SELL No 91¢ $1 4d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $1 4d
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30? BUY No 93¢ $1 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 98¢ $1 6d
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? SELL No 91¢ $1 6d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 97¢ $1 6d
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? BUY No 92¢ $1 6d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? SELL No 94¢ $1 7d
Will Apple announce all six next-generation operating systems during t SELL Yes 83¢ $1 7d
Will Apple announce all six next-generation operating systems during t BUY Yes 90¢ $1 7d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? BUY No 95¢ $1 7d
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 96¢ $1 8d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 8d
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 8d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 83¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -1.9% -11.3% 0% 0% -11.0%
≤30d 49 -3.2% -12.4% 2% 0% -12.2%
≤90d 134 -2.6% -11.9% 7% 0% -11.8%
all 193 -2.8% -12.1% 6% 0% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 0% -11.6%
10% -20.5% 0% -20.0%
15% -28.2% 0% -27.8%
20% -35.2% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 530 history records