Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:18:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77ef…9f6a
crypto · 74 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,199 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,199 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses34 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage226d
Avg bet$322
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 0 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,190
7 days−$1,190
14 days−$1,190
30 days−$1,190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $203 −$99 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $264 −$260 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $162 −$160 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $141 +$57 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$106 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $503 +$36 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $202 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $212 +$38 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $203 +$50 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $291 +$45 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $607 +$116 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $445 −$399 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $175 +$33 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$38 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $205 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $116 −$116 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 202 Jun 13 $2,497 +$123 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 20 Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 20 Jun 13 $100 −$98 -98%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? Jun 13 $191 −$178 -94%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 Jun 13 $169 −$169 -100%
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? Jun 13 $329 −$269 -82%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 Jun 13 $273 −$178 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $327 +$123 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $111 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $515 +$351 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$55 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$43 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $144 +$86 +60%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,310 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% −$1,895
crypto 36% −$50
politics 4% −$16
tech 1% −$238
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $9 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $31 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $9 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $24 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $14 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $10 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $102 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $105 49m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 41¢ $102 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-36.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -27.0% -34.0% 54% 40% -18.6%
≤30d 50 -27.0% -34.0% 54% 40% -18.6%
≤90d 50 -27.0% -34.0% 54% 40% -18.6%
all 74 -29.9% -36.6% 46% 34% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.6% 34% -17.9%
10% -42.6% 18% -25.7%
15% -48.2% 14% -32.9%
20% -53.3% 3% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1365 history records