trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 50% | 50% | +12.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 50% | 50% | +12.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -70.2% | -73.0% | 20% | 20% | -69.6% |
| all | 10 | -70.2% | -73.0% | 20% | 20% | -69.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -73.0% | 20% | -69.6% |
| 10% | -75.6% | 20% | -72.5% |
| 15% | -77.9% | 10% | -75.2% |
| 20% | -80.1% | 10% | -77.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $18 | −$2 | -12% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 12 | $14 | +$11 | +75% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +23% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 07 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 07 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |