Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77fd…9f40
crypto · 670 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses532 / 138
Open positions0
Markets (closed)670 / 670
History coverage27d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 670 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$18
14 days−$131
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 -9.3% -17.9% 70% 10% -12.4%
≤30d 670 -4.5% -13.6% 79% 25% -11.3%
≤90d 670 -4.5% -13.6% 79% 25% -11.3%
all 670 -4.5% -13.6% 79% 25% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 25% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 7% -19.8%
15% -29.4% 2% -27.5%
20% -36.4% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1431 history records