Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x780a…84f0
sports · 32 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$272,186 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$272,186 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$272,186
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses21 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$13,986
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage18d
Avg bet$46,657
Trades / day49.3
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75,940
7 days+$169,141
14 days+$218,770
30 days+$272,186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Victoria Mboko 51¢ 0¢ $77,000 $0 −$77,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry Ann Li 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Anastasia Potapova 65¢ 0¢ $63,288 $0 −$63,288 (-100%)
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Under 4.5 72¢ 0¢ $13,571 $0 −$13,571 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang Hailey Baptiste 68¢ 0¢ $6,397 $0 −$6,397 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 62¢ 0¢ $43,400 $0 −$43,400 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Alex de Minaur 80¢ 0¢ $40,708 $0 −$40,708 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon Raphael Collignon 71¢ 0¢ $18,248 $0 −$18,248 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $129,892 +$25,109 +19%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $173,143 +$50,831 +29%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $207,335 +$22,586 +11%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $137,844 +$69,501 +50%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $2,863 +$1,114 +39%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $43,717 −$43,400 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $14,108 +$7,052 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $107,026 +$66,352 +62%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $63,953 −$63,288 -99%
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 May 31 $13,677 −$13,571 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $94,041 +$58,089 +62%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $70,776 +$54,607 +77%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $35,911 −$18,248 -51%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 30 $77,076 −$77,000 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $79,172 +$79,037 +100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 29 $40,708 −$40,708 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $34,531 +$63,820 +185%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 28 $10 +$25 +249%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry May 28 $1,373 −$643 -47%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $16,204 +$3,801 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro May 28 $2,115 +$1,056 +50%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 May 28 $38,055 +$13,403 +35%
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang May 27 $6,418 −$6,397 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi May 26 $16,783 +$774 +5%
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen May 26 $5,032 +$692 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino May 26 $849 +$330 +39%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev May 25 $40,492 +$10,866 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong May 25 $23,609 +$13,847 +59%
Stan Wawrinka vs. Jesper de Jong: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 25 $2,958 +$1,289 +44%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng May 25 $11,455 −$8,495 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 25 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 25 $1,838 −$188 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$272,406
crypto 0% −$245
other 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 33¢ $82 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $102,481 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $10 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $49 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $49 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $39 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $507 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $6,130 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $343 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $911 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $3,362 25h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $4 27h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $30 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $9 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $43 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $21 29h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $213 31h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $8 31h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $5 32h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $81 33h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $21 33h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $15,496 33h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $11,288 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $3 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $16 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $5 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $9 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $1,781 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $145,567 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 75¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +29.8% +17.4% 100% 100% +14.0%
≤30d 32 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 62% +7.2%
≤90d 32 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 62% +7.2%
all 32 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 62% +7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.6% 62% +7.2%
10% -11.9% 53% -3.0%
15% ← realistic here -20.4% 41% -12.4%
20% -28.2% 25% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 931 history records