trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 55% | 55% | -4.7% |
| ≤30d | 59 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 49% | 49% | -22.1% |
| ≤90d | 59 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 49% | 49% | -22.1% |
| all | 59 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 49% | 49% | -22.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.1% | 49% | -22.1% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 42% | -29.6% |
| 15% | -35.6% | 37% | -36.4% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 22% | -42.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Senegal (-1.5) | Senegal | 60¢ | 60¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5 | Under | 59¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $94 | −$6 (-6%) |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 74¢ | 80¢ | $45 | $49 | +$4 (+9%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 52¢ | $50 | $42 | −$8 (-17%) |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 83¢ | 84¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $34 | $34 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 64¢ | $25 | $27 | +$2 (+9%) |
| Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 70¢ | $25 | $25 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 36¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $51 | +$42 | +83% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $181 | +$36 | +20% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $202 | +$80 | +40% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $151 | +$30 | +20% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$6 | -60% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $31 | +$53 | +172% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $152 | −$152 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | +$49 | +48% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $50 | +$13 | +26% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $262 | −$262 | -100% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $222 | +$88 | +40% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $162 | +$105 | +65% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $26 | +$113 | +442% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $61 | +$59 | +97% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $172 | −$172 | -100% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $152 | −$152 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $181 | +$36 | +20% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $212 | +$68 | +32% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $41 | +$34 | +83% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $162 | +$109 | +67% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $222 | +$106 | +48% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $222 | −$222 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $61 | +$57 | +93% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $221 | +$35 | +16% |