Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7826…01da
crypto · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$97 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$89
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses328 / 103
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)431 / 432
History coverage22d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day58.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 65¢ 44¢ $25 $17 −$8 (-33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs Maryville University 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$14 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$10 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $12 −$2 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$59
sports 2% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 65¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -5.2% -14.2% 75% 37% -11.8%
≤30d 431 -5.1% -14.1% 76% 37% -10.9%
≤90d 431 -5.1% -14.1% 76% 37% -10.9%
all 431 -5.1% -14.1% 76% 37% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 37% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 22% -19.4%
15% -29.9% 12% -27.2%
20% -36.7% 7% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.73 · official $16.73 (match) · 1866 history records