trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +70.3% | +54.1% | 100% | 100% | +54.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 60% | 60% | -0.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -18.5% | -26.3% | 56% | 44% | -36.1% |
| all | 28 | -16.7% | -24.6% | 71% | 25% | -19.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.6% | 25% | -19.6% |
| 10% | -31.8% | 21% | -27.3% |
| 15% | -38.4% | 14% | -34.3% |
| 20% | -44.4% | 7% | -40.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $57 | $57 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $75 | +$53 | +70% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $79 | −$78 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $60 | −$59 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $105 | +$71 | +67% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 05 | $152 | +$63 | +42% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 06 | $396 | −$396 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Apr 03 | $103 | −$101 | -98% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Apr 03 | $11 | +$5 | +49% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $456 | +$22 | +5% |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 16 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 16 | $431 | +$53 | +12% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Mar 05 | $399 | +$32 | +8% |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? | Feb 11 | $392 | +$7 | +2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 03 | $371 | +$21 | +6% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026? | Jan 15 | $363 | +$8 | +2% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | Jan 05 | $350 | +$13 | +4% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 05 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | Dec 03 | $1,020 | +$230 | +22% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | Nov 18 | $354 | −$354 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9? | Nov 18 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Nov 18 | $197 | +$56 | +28% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | Nov 18 | $1,102 | +$15 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 08 | $1,218 | +$86 | +7% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 01 | $132 | −$132 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? | Nov 01 | $27 | $0 | +2% |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Nov 01 | $1,302 | +$20 | +2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $59 | +$1 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $1,220 | +$22 | +2% |