trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +59.6% | +44.4% | 50% | 50% | +78.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +10.9% | +0.3% | 50% | 50% | +69.2% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 38% | 38% | +55.9% |
| all | 18 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 39% | 33% | +55.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 33% | +55.7% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 33% | +40.8% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 33% | +27.2% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 33% | +14.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 48¢ | 44¢ | $553 | $496 | −$57 (-10%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 41¢ | 45¢ | $100 | $109 | +$10 (+10%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 48¢ | 99¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 (+107%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 37¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $6 | −$14 (-72%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 22 | $96 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | Jun 17 | $387 | +$475 | +123% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $314 | +$238 | +76% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Jun 12 | $42 | +$29 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Jun 06 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $5 | −$3 | -62% |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $30 | −$27 | -90% |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $31 | −$24 | -76% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their | May 14 | $5 | +$13 | +269% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day o | May 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Apr 08 | $5 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 08 | $65 | +$33 | +50% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $19 | +$15 | +79% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Mar 10 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 06 | $1 | $0 | +7% |