Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T19:23:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
78 0x7851…5ff7 crypto 1758 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$25 (+1%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1740W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day75.8pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$29
14 days−$22
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% +$9
other 17% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 1767 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 1767 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -9.9%
all 1767 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover75.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1740 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1767 / 1758
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day75.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1767 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records