Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T20:00:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
78 0x7871…2917 other 145 markets active 7d ago coverage 93d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$3,068 (-3%) realized −$3,068 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate51%74W / 71L
Whale WR59%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$710per market
Trades / day24.2pace
Kalshi-fit5%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$665
30 days−$1,870
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 99% −$4,165
sports 1% −$174
crypto 0% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 32 +30.9% +18.5% 56% 34% -14.9%
≤90d 120 -5.1% -14.1% 55% 27% -12.6%
all 145 -9.7% -18.3% 51% 26% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 26% -13.5%
10% -26.1% 16% -21.8%
15% ← realistic here -33.2% 11% -29.3%
20% -39.8% 6% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 59% (≥$959) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -18% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$143 vs −$211 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

93d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,068
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses74 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
History coverage93d
Avg bet$710
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit5%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 145 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? Jun 21 $201 −$160 -80%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? Jun 20 $197 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? Jun 20 $204 −$8 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? Jun 19 $165 +$35 +21%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 19 $189 −$12 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 19 $226 −$49 -22%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 18 $479 −$257 -54%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Jun 17 $254 +$224 +88%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 16 $2,188 −$439 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $57 +$19 +34%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $1,350 −$706 -52%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $988 −$584 -59%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $2,895 +$80 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $2,072 −$130 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,174 +$845 +72%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $1,379 +$231 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $380 −$12 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $801 +$89 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $1,615 −$205 -13%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $4,072 −$674 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $1,685 −$12 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $623 +$35 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $879 +$70 +8%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $1,572 +$5 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $1,148 +$413 +36%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $1,126 +$6 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $910 +$211 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 03 $913 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $899 +$2 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $629 +$298 +47%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? May 31 $2,148 −$1,299 -60%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 29 $660 +$113 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 29 $7 −$5 -74%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $2,573 −$557 -22%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $940 −$544 -58%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $3,676 +$422 +12%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $2,345 +$218 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 25 $686 −$65 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 24 $176 +$143 +81%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 24 $215 −$26 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 23 $112 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 23 $157 +$30 +19%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 23 $72 −$62 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $3,802 +$522 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $1,494 −$231 -16%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $45 +$4 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 21 $133 −$24 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 20 $133 −$66 -50%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $575 −$181 -31%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 19 $37 +$29 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $29 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $5 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $18 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $11 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 7d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $7 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2379 history records