Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:18:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7876…0a15
crypto · 43 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$34 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses11 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day84.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$6 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -19.1% -26.8% 26% 9% -19.4%
≤30d 43 -19.1% -26.8% 26% 9% -19.4%
≤90d 43 -19.1% -26.8% 26% 9% -19.4%
all 43 -19.1% -26.8% 26% 9% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.8% 9% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.8% 5% -27.1%
15% -40.2% 2% -34.2%
20% -46.1% 2% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 374 history records