Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:50:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7893…78bc
crypto · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$54 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses103 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage3d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$54
14 days+$54
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 99¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $34 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$6 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $44 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$2 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$49
other 8% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $80 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $58 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $43 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 22h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 23h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 23h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $79 24h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.8%
≤30d 105 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.8%
≤90d 105 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.8%
all 105 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 2% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 1% -17.5%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.2% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 210 history records