Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:56:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78a1…5551
sports · 645 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,199 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,212 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 1 History 644 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$536
7 days−$1,267
14 days−$1,625
30 days−$1,830
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 32¢ 42¢ $40 $54 +$13 (+33%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 22¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 18¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon Adrian Arcon $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 51¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 32¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 34¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Alejandro Davidovich Fokina $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 45¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao Lanlana Tararudee 20¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Stefanos Sakellaridis $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 14¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 27¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cina Maxim Mrva 57¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh Karan Singh $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 36¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Luca Van Assche 31¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko Anna Kalinskaya 49¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 10¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmoh Michael Mmoh 25¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskova Laura Siegemund 19¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNally Caty McNally 13¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Liam Broady 19¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $48 −$47 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $48 −$47 -98%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $340 −$255 -75%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $308 +$179 +58%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $61 +$12 +19%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $87 +$49 +56%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $48 −$29 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +140%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $117 −$115 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $113 −$14 -12%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $56 −$55 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $52 −$37 -70%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $6 +$5 +91%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $49 −$48 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $34 +$30 +88%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $490 −$482 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $272 +$138 +51%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $118 +$110 +93%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $51 +$36 +70%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $171 +$119 +69%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $90 −$46 -51%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $106 −$5 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $63 +$31 +50%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $250 −$246 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $126 +$101 +80%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $245 −$48 -20%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $163 −$41 -25%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $263 +$115 +44%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $48 +$52 +110%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Ryan Colby Jun 09 $45 −$45 -98%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $182 −$179 -99%
ITF Wichita: James Trotter vs Karl Poling Jun 09 $58 +$58 +100%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $129 −$126 -98%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 09 $173 +$166 +96%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $102 −$99 -98%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $122 −$15 -13%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $26 −$4 -17%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $80 +$89 +111%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $108 −$48 -45%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $18 −$9 -48%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $38 −$21 -55%
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva Jun 09 $198 −$176 -89%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 08 $51 +$61 +119%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $65 +$66 +102%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $554 −$441 -80%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $108 +$4 +4%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 08 $37 +$37 +100%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $212 +$188 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$4,258
other 1% +$61
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 35¢ $18 18m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 29¢ $23 19m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 12¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 31¢ $16 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 28¢ $29 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 31¢ $7 11h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 34¢ $41 12h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 10¢ $10 12h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini $10 12h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 26¢ $70 12h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini 14¢ $69 12h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 48¢ $4 13h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 48¢ $85 13h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 48¢ $31 13h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 50¢ $52 13h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 57¢ $88 13h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 99¢ $261 13h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 40¢ $4 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 46¢ $119 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Julia Grabher 56¢ $112 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 50¢ $26 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 50¢ $77 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 50¢ $114 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 38¢ $10 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 37¢ $50 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 30¢ $22 15h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla SELL Oriol Roca Batalla 48¢ $72 15h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 35¢ $18 17h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 41¢ $42 17h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $70 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -9.9% -18.5% 43% 39% -17.9%
≤30d 195 -13.0% -21.3% 40% 36% -19.5%
≤90d 644 -15.6% -23.6% 37% 34% -19.1%
all 644 -15.6% -23.6% 37% 34% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.6% 34% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -30.9% 31% -26.8%
15% -37.6% 28% -33.9%
20% -43.7% 24% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.53 · official $53.62 (match) · 3500 history records