trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 33 | -25.8% | -32.8% | 33% | 30% | -52.8% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -25.8% | -32.8% | 33% | 30% | -52.8% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -25.8% | -32.8% | 33% | 30% | -52.8% |
| all | 33 | -25.8% | -32.8% | 33% | 30% | -52.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.8% | 30% | -52.8% |
| 10% | -39.3% | 21% | -57.3% |
| 15% | -45.1% | 18% | -61.4% |
| 20% | -50.5% | 18% | -65.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 78¢ | $264 | $357 | +$93 (+35%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-12%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 9¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $43 | −$41 | -94% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $19 | −$18 | -95% |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? | Jun 16 | $16 | −$15 | -96% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 16 | $31 | $0 | -2% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 16 | $121 | +$26 | +21% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$3 | +85% |
| Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$19 | -96% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$15 | -76% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $56 | −$17 | -30% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $6 | +$2 | +35% |
| Spread: Sweden (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $12 | +$26 | +213% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +119% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $2 | +$8 | +350% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |