trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 73% | 55% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 76% | 56% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +3.5% | -6.3% | 75% | 54% | -7.9% |
| all | 28 | +3.5% | -6.3% | 75% | 54% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.3% | 54% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -15.3% | 43% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -23.5% | 25% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 7% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 36¢ | $15 | $8 | −$7 (-45%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $40 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $351 | +$25 | +7% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $35 | +$8 | +22% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $56 | +$19 | +33% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $56 | +$14 | +25% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $81 | −$55 | -68% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $280 | +$16 | +6% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $81 | +$37 | +46% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $201 | −$91 | -46% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | −$13 | -43% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $388 | +$47 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$10 | +34% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $72 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $19 | +$11 | +58% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $12 | +$7 | +57% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $9 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $6 | +$2 | +39% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $35 | −$33 | -93% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $25 | +$12 | +48% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $41 | −$7 | -16% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $131 | +$11 | +8% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $143 | +$51 | +36% |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28? | May 29 | $60 | +$16 | +27% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 23 | $80 | −$75 | -94% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 19 | $71 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 19 | $145 | +$27 | +18% |