Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78b3…edc2
crypto · 232 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$158 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$158 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses98 / 134
Open positions0
Markets (closed)232 / 232
History coverage7d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day106.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$158
14 days−$158
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$12 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$14 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $28 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -3.0% -12.3% 42% 29% -12.5%
≤30d 232 -3.0% -12.2% 42% 29% -12.5%
≤90d 232 -3.0% -12.2% 42% 29% -12.5%
all 232 -3.0% -12.2% 42% 29% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 29% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 21% -20.9%
15% -28.3% 12% -28.5%
20% -35.3% 6% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 758 history records