Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78b3…3a3d
crypto · 425 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$30 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses355 / 70
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)425 / 425
History coverage12d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day46.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 425 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$22
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$9 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$18
sports 1% +$3
other 0% −$12
weather 0% $0
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 -4.9% -14.0% 85% 13% -8.5%
≤30d 425 -5.5% -14.5% 84% 14% -9.0%
≤90d 425 -5.5% -14.5% 84% 14% -9.0%
all 425 -5.5% -14.5% 84% 14% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 14% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 5% -17.7%
15% -30.1% 3% -25.7%
20% -37.0% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 922 history records