Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:41:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
78 0x78d2…d224 sports 445 markets active 3d ago coverage 59d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$190 (-2%) realized −$190 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate42%188W / 257L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day39.0pace
Fees−$125est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$28
14 days−$20
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 75% −$234
world 14% −$34
other 5% +$4
finance 4% −$13
politics 2% −$5
tech 1% −$3
crypto 0% −$10
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -6.7% -15.6% 48% 35% -14.7%
≤30d 147 -2.5% -11.8% 54% 32% -11.1%
≤90d 445 -4.4% -13.5% 42% 24% -12.9%
all 445 -4.4% -13.5% 42% 24% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 24% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 11% -21.3%
15% -29.3% 5% -28.9%
20% -36.3% 3% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$190
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses188 / 257
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)445 / 445
History coverage59d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 445 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Lorenzo Giustino Jun 15 $4 $0 -6%
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 15 $5 +$1 +20%
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano Jun 15 $9 +$2 +22%
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 15 $14 +$3 +20%
Royan: Lucio Ratti vs Calvin Hemery Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones Jun 15 $8 $0 -3%
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 15 $8 −$6 -74%
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Dublin: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Nicolas Mejia Jun 15 $10 $0 -1%
Nottingham 2: Tristan Boyer vs Jay Clarke Jun 15 $8 +$2 +20%
Dublin: Clement Chidekh vs Colton Smith Jun 15 $5 −$3 -59%
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Zachary Svajda Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohan Jun 15 $9 +$2 +20%
Brescia: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Anastasiia Sobolieva Jun 15 $9 −$4 -47%
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 15 $4 −$2 -37%
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 15 $4 +$1 +15%
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 15 $5 −$2 -43%
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelken Jun 15 $9 $0 +2%
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 15 $5 −$1 -25%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Za Jun 15 $4 $0 +6%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zha Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Nottingham 2: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 15 $4 −$1 -32%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lin Zhu vs Sinja Kraus Jun 15 $10 −$1 -10%
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen Jun 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald Jun 14 $10 −$2 -21%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $5 −$2 -41%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $4 −$2 -36%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $4 −$1 -38%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $7 −$3 -36%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $8 −$3 -35%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $15 −$5 -33%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $14 +$2 +17%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $4 −$3 -88%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $5 $0 +11%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $5 $0 +11%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Lorenzo Giustino SELL Maks Kasnikowski 83¢ $4 2d
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur SELL Buvaysar Gadamauri 74¢ $6 2d
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano SELL Stefano Napolitano 100¢ $9 2d
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur BUY Buvaysar Gadamauri 61¢ $3 2d
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur BUY Buvaysar Gadamauri 61¢ $2 2d
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin SELL Svyatoslav Gulin 100¢ $8 2d
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche SELL Luca Van Assche 100¢ $12 2d
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano BUY Stefano Napolitano 80¢ $4 2d
Royan: Lucio Ratti vs Calvin Hemery BUY Calvin Hemery 75¢ $4 2d
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas BUY Alejandro Moro Canas 88¢ $4 3d
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova BUY Liudmila Samsonova 73¢ $5 3d
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas SELL Alejandro Moro Canas 86¢ $2 3d
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas BUY Alejandro Moro Canas 80¢ $4 3d
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Lorenzo Giustino BUY Maks Kasnikowski 87¢ $4 3d
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano SELL Stefano Napolitano 75¢ $3 3d
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin BUY Svyatoslav Gulin 89¢ $5 3d
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Luca Van Assche 81¢ $4 3d
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin SELL Svyatoslav Gulin 83¢ $2 3d
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin BUY Svyatoslav Gulin 78¢ $4 3d
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones SELL Francesca Jones 79¢ $1 3d
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano BUY Stefano Napolitano 72¢ $5 3d
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones SELL Francesca Jones 74¢ $2 3d
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones BUY Francesca Jones 71¢ $4 3d
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche SELL Luca Van Assche 74¢ $2 3d
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche SELL Luca Van Assche 78¢ $3 3d
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Luca Van Assche 76¢ $5 3d
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 84¢ $2 3d
Dublin: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Nicolas Mejia SELL Nicolas Mejia 69¢ $10 3d
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Luca Van Assche 72¢ $5 3d
Nottingham 2: Tristan Boyer vs Jay Clarke SELL Jay Clarke 90¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2536 history records