trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 20% | 20% | -10.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 25% | 25% | -30.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 44% | 39% | -10.4% |
| all | 26 | -26.1% | -33.1% | 35% | 27% | -18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.1% | 27% | -18.6% |
| 10% | -39.5% | 27% | -26.3% |
| 15% | -45.3% | 27% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -50.7% | 23% | -40.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $43 | $44 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $44 | +$170 | +383% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | May 30 | $46 | −$44 | -97% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 30 | $24 | +$21 | +88% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score | Apr 25 | $89 | −$87 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $224 | +$84 | +38% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Apr 14 | $205 | +$20 | +10% |
| Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta Nation | Apr 13 | $40 | +$56 | +140% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta Nationa | Apr 13 | $50 | +$59 | +119% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 07 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National In | Apr 07 | $80 | −$79 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31? | Mar 31 | $40 | +$53 | +134% |
| Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Score | Mar 31 | $19 | +$21 | +108% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July? | Mar 31 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Jul 31 | $45 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | Jul 27 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July? | Jul 24 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July? | Jul 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1? | Jul 24 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025? | Jul 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | Jul 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |