Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:42:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78e1…e09c
crypto · 1023 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$171 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$257 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$257
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses402 / 621
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1023 / 1023
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day64.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1023 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$73
14 days+$6
30 days−$257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$6 +529%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +218%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$257
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -8.5% -17.2% 41% 41% -12.9%
≤30d 1023 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 39% -14.5%
≤90d 1023 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 39% -14.5%
all 1023 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 39% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 39% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 38% -22.7%
15% -32.5% 37% -30.2%
20% -39.1% 32% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1911 history records