Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:56:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78e4…fa71
crypto · 607 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$397 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$397 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$397
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses300 / 307
Open positions0
Markets (closed)607 / 607
History coverage35d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 607 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$82
14 days−$82
30 days−$349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$14 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$13 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$24 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$15 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $42 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $18 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $34 −$4 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$397
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -3.5% -12.7% 47% 18% -13.8%
≤30d 569 -7.8% -16.6% 50% 34% -14.9%
≤90d 607 -8.6% -17.3% 49% 33% -15.3%
all 607 -8.6% -17.3% 49% 33% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 33% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 22% -23.4%
15% -32.4% 12% -30.8%
20% -39.0% 9% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2938 history records