Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T11:16:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
78 0x78f4…4dfc crypto 1028 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (197 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$688 (+1%) realized +$688 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate93%959W / 69L
Drawdown16%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day196.6pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$214
7 days+$414
14 days+$401
30 days+$401
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$457
other 3% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (197 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 697 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 1% -8.7%
≤30d 1028 +0.0% -9.5% 93% 2% -8.8%
≤90d 1028 +0.0% -9.5% 93% 2% -8.8%
all 1028 +0.0% -9.5% 93% 2% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover196.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 2% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 1% -17.5%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.3% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.17 per $1 lost it wins $4.17
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$688
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses959 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1028 / 1028
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day196.6
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1028 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 21 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 21 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $206 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $101 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $204 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 21 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $99 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $168 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $99 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 21 $21 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 21 $267 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 21 $69 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $84 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $88 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records