Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7906…ad0e
sports · 1416 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$131 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$130
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses801 / 596
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1397 / 1416
History coverage82d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 19 History 1397 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$34
14 days−$54
30 days−$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-1.5) CSD Colo-Colo 54¢ 53¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 47¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 49¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-2.5) CSD Colo-Colo 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 60¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 17¢ 15¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 1 - 0 CD Palestino? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 0 - 1 CD Palestino? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 0 - 0 CD Palestino? Yes 12¢ 9¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Bolivia 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 0.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 1.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 +$8 +28%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $24 +$7 +29%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Will FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +276%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +128%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +73%
Spread: Algeria (-2.5) Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Spread: Venezuela (-2.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
England vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Thespa Gunma: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Sweden vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Lithuania vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
France vs. Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Georgia vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $2 +$4 +213%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $10 +$2 +17%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 +$6 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% −$63
crypto 38% −$25
other 16% −$37
world 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 14m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 15m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 15m
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-1.5) BUY CSD Colo-Colo 54¢ $2 19m
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-2.5) BUY CSD Colo-Colo 31¢ $1 19m
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 50¢ $1 20m
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 1 - 0 CD Palestino? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 23m
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 0 - 1 CD Palestino? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 23m
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 0 - 0 CD Palestino? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 23m
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 26m
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2 27m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 60¢ $1 29m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $2 31m
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $1 37m
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $2 37m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $8 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $9 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 100¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Under 99¢ $8 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 SELL Under 99¢ $39 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 62¢ $5 2h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 80¢ $5 3h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $24 3h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 4h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 56¢ $2 4h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 23¢ $1 4h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 5¢ $4 9h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 17¢ $9 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -8.5% -17.2% 50% 50% -15.4%
≤30d 513 -7.2% -16.1% 64% 62% -13.7%
≤90d 1397 -7.4% -16.3% 57% 54% -12.3%
all 1397 -7.4% -16.3% 57% 54% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 54% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 37% -20.7%
15% -31.6% 23% -28.4%
20% -38.3% 14% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.44 · official $55.44 (match) · 3500 history records