Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:56:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7919…1493
other · 228 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 216
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)228 / 228
History coverage122d
Avg bet$205
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$18
14 days−$27
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $280 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $185 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $567 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $211 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $133 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $243 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $230 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $182 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $762 −$2 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $268 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $452 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $169 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $137 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $432 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $118 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $142 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $107 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $226 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $260 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $715 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $187 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $140 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $513 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $589 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $707 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $255 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 07 $352 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $157 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $306 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $211 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $370 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 05 $234 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $244 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $377 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $56 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $123 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $359 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $193 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $625 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $57 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $173 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $189 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $251 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $290 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $115 −$1 -1%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 31 $354 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $272 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $212 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $309 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$43
sports 21% −$12
politics 8% −$6
culture 7% −$7
economics 6% −$5
crypto 5% −$2
world 5% −$4
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $51 20m
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $51 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 3h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 5h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $51 9h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $51 12h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $51 16h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $51 18h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $51 20h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $52 22h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 23h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 25h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $52 26h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $52 28h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 30h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 32h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 33h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 34h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 36h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 38h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 39h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 40h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $52 46h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $52 47h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $53 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $53 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $53 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $53 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 73 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 176 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 228 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1277 history records