Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:13:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x792c…cb6d
crypto · 598 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses429 / 168
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)597 / 598
History coverage58d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 597 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 65¢ 59¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 26 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 26 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 26 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score May 24 $1 +$1 +103%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 24 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 24 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 24 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$82
sports 0% +$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -17.1% -25.0% 65% 62% -3.5%
≤30d 199 -4.8% -13.9% 71% 52% -12.5%
≤90d 597 -4.8% -13.9% 72% 55% -15.0%
all 597 -4.8% -13.9% 72% 55% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 55% -15.0%
10% -22.1% 31% -23.1%
15% -29.7% 16% -30.5%
20% -36.6% 7% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.50 · official $0.00 (match) · 1391 history records