trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -76.6% | -78.8% | 0% | 0% | -82.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -76.6% | -78.8% | 0% | 0% | -82.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -19.6% | -27.2% | 33% | 25% | -52.8% |
| all | 12 | -19.6% | -27.2% | 33% | 25% | -52.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.2% | 25% | -52.8% |
| 10% | -34.2% | 17% | -57.3% |
| 15% | -40.5% | 8% | -61.5% |
| 20% | -46.4% | 8% | -65.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $157 | $156 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $52 | −$27 | -53% |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026? | Apr 13 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Apr 12 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 11? | Apr 12 | $45 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 11 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Apr 11 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | Apr 10 | $8 | +$2 | +28% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10? | Apr 10 | $17 | +$25 | +145% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10? | Apr 10 | $20 | −$11 | -56% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 09 | $19 | −$1 | -8% |