Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:29:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x793f…6d60
crypto · 1356 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$165 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$168 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$168
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1204 / 165
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1369 / 1356
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day704.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 2 History 1369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$189
7 days−$168
14 days−$168
30 days−$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 52¢ 94¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$73
other 14% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $2 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1369 -5.1% -14.1% 88% 8% -11.7%
≤30d 1369 -5.1% -14.1% 88% 8% -11.7%
≤90d 1369 -5.1% -14.1% 88% 8% -11.7%
all 1369 -5.1% -14.1% 88% 8% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover704.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 8% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 2% -20.2%
15% -29.9% 1% -27.9%
20% -36.7% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.67 · official $8.25 (match) · 3500 history records