Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7951…bb41
sports · 252 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$50,412 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50,834 · open +$219
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,063
Realized−$50,834
Unrealized+$219
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses164 / 493
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$5,205
Open positions10
Markets (closed)657 / 252
History coverage32d
Avg bet$701
Trades / day106.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 10 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54,922
7 days−$54,540
14 days−$53,794
30 days−$53,288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 34¢ $565 $576 +$11 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 42¢ 42¢ $495 $501 +$6 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $500 $475 −$25 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 38¢ 38¢ $418 $423 +$5 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 46¢ 80¢ $236 $404 +$168 (+71%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $377 $330 −$47 (-12%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $200 $300 +$100 (+50%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $52 $54 +$2 (+4%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage FORZE Reload 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Aurora 47¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner SemperFi Esports 21¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 50¢ 0¢ $376 $0 −$376 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B M80 37¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B NRG 14¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner 4Pirates 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Passion UA 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 30¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Legacy 46¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 43¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 12 $9 +$68 +725%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $376 −$376 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$16 -91%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $218 −$224 -103%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 +$49 +59777%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $430 −$430 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) Jun 12 $430 −$430 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) Jun 12 $47 −$36 -76%
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Gro Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $138 −$132 -96%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $49 −$44 -91%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1) Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier Jun 12 $120 −$60 -50%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $147 −$155 -106%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$22 -84%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jun 12 $481 −$470 -98%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3) Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Jun 12 $345 −$345 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $279 −$279 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $88 −$85 -97%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Eur Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag Jun 12 $25 −$44 -174%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 12 $41 −$199 -490%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $450 −$450 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Jun 12 $110 −$100 -91%
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $56 −$53 -94%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$13 +82%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 12 $880 −$880 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $88 −$38 -43%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 12 $719 −$719 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$4,394
other 3% +$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $5 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $65 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $210 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $46 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 43¢ $9 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 43¢ $4 4m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $495 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 43¢ $240 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $3 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $4 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 34¢ $1,496 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 39¢ $20 19m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $86 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $217 25m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $123 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $2 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $136 33m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 33m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 38m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 53m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $15 54m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $190 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 69¢ $1,025 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 38¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 -19.7% -27.4% 13% 5% -54.5%
≤30d 628 -13.2% -21.4% 24% 8% -34.7%
≤90d 657 -10.4% -18.9% 25% 9% -32.7%
all 657 -10.4% -18.9% 25% 9% -32.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 9% -32.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 8% -39.2%
15% -33.8% 7% -45.0%
20% -40.3% 6% -50.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,063.06 · official $3,063.05 (match) · 3500 history records