Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:20:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x795e…55c9
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
10.0score
+$857 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$857 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$857
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses32 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage585d
Avg bet$203
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$192
7 days+$979
14 days+$1,045
30 days+$1,045
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $254 $0 −$254 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $336 +$96 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $803 −$94 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $341 +$112 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $313 +$29 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $288 +$25 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $192 +$95 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $171 +$22 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $139 +$32 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$34 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$17 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$14 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $181 −$175 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $217 −$34 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $208 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $327 −$315 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $257 +$46 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $206 +$64 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $929 +$131 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $416 +$524 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $695 +$141 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$73 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $137 +$89 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$38 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 05 $209 +$80 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $154 +$61 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 05 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 05 $131 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Mar 05 $96 −$95 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Feb 07 $255 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Feb 07 $193 +$62 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Feb 07 $167 +$26 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Feb 07 $164 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Feb 07 $125 +$38 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Feb 07 $98 +$27 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Feb 05 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 05 $48 +$8 +17%
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Jan 01 $97 −$95 -98%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $216 +$147 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$806
politics 2% +$147
other 1% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $431 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $336 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $357 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $432 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $43 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $308 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $248 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $104 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $453 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $341 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $46 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $296 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $313 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $312 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $288 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $288 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $192 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $192 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $171 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $171 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $139 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $138 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $105 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $88 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $22 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +23.7% +11.9% 82% 75% +4.1%
≤30d 32 +16.9% +5.8% 78% 72% +4.1%
≤90d 32 +16.9% +5.8% 78% 72% +4.1%
all 43 +7.8% -2.5% 74% 67% +0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.5% 67% +0.8%
10% -11.8% 49% -8.9%
15% -20.4% 26% -17.7%
20% -28.2% 16% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 92 history records