trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 96% | 4% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 96% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 4% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 4% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 4% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $206 | $206 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $879 | +$7 | +1% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $870 | +$10 | +1% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $869 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 13? | Jun 15 | $219 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 13? | Jun 15 | $241 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? | Jun 15 | $407 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "BROWN - Chris Brown" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week | Jun 09 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the | Jun 09 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "GREENGREEN - CORTIS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week | Jun 09 | $127 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Maid of Honor - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the wee | Jun 09 | $134 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album f | Jun 09 | $139 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Habibti - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of J | Jun 09 | $142 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album f | Jun 09 | $158 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in May? | Jun 01 | $866 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this | May 20 | $426 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this wee | May 20 | $438 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13? | May 14 | $863 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 01 | $862 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on April 14? | Apr 15 | $861 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Apr 10 | $100 | +$105 | +104% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Apr 10 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 8? | Apr 09 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 8? | Apr 09 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on April 8? | Apr 09 | $799 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 4? | Apr 05 | $857 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of March? | Mar 31 | $856 | +$1 | +0% |