Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x796b…597a
crypto · 319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,845 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,824 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$5,824
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses170 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)318 / 319
History coverage21d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$608
7 days−$869
14 days−$3,912
30 days−$5,824
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 45¢ 22¢ $40 $19 −$21 (-52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+123%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+355%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+196%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+142%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$20 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$29 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$16 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $224 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$37 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$10 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$64 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$140 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $199 −$177 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $219 −$165 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$69 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $233 −$122 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$23 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$39 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$20 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $103 +$70 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$18 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $115 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $56 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $62 +$42 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $72 +$4 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5,845
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $52 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $31 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+41.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +147.5% +124.0% 58% 51% -19.4%
≤30d 318 +56.4% +41.5% 53% 47% -21.7%
≤90d 318 +56.4% +41.5% 53% 47% -21.7%
all 318 +56.4% +41.5% 53% 47% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +41.5% 47% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here +28.0% 40% -29.2%
15% +15.6% 34% -36.0%
20% +4.3% 27% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.39 · official $20.79 · 1026 history records