Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7974…1fa1
crypto · 328 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$76 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses161 / 166
Open positions1
Markets (closed)327 / 328
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day107.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 327 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days−$110
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 42¢ 60¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$15 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$9 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$14 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$103
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 -10.5% -19.0% 49% 46% -15.7%
≤30d 327 -10.5% -19.0% 49% 46% -15.7%
≤90d 327 -10.5% -19.0% 49% 46% -15.7%
all 327 -10.5% -19.0% 49% 46% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 46% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 44% -23.7%
15% -33.8% 40% -31.1%
20% -40.3% 33% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.17 · official $12.98 · 841 history records