Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:14:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x798f…9c30
crypto · 1279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$515 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$517 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$517
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses945 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1444 / 1279
History coverage14d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day185.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$778
7 days−$710
14 days−$517
30 days−$517
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 0¢ 38¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$325
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 925 -32.5% -38.9% 55% 54% -28.2%
≤30d 1444 -19.6% -27.3% 65% 63% -17.9%
≤90d 1444 -19.6% -27.3% 65% 63% -17.9%
all 1444 -19.6% -27.3% 65% 63% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover185.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.3% 63% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.2% 61% -25.8%
15% -40.6% 1% -33.0%
20% -46.4% 1% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.90 · official $2.56 (match) · 3500 history records