Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:46:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x7995…bb7e crypto 1378 markets active 13h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$233 (-4%) realized −$233 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate54%747W / 631L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day85.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$184
14 days−$170
30 days−$277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$328
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 721 -9.7% -18.3% 47% 47% -16.2%
≤30d 1308 -8.7% -17.4% 54% 41% -13.7%
≤90d 1378 -9.6% -18.2% 54% 41% -14.3%
all 1378 -9.6% -18.2% 54% 41% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 41% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 34% -22.5%
15% -33.2% 31% -29.9%
20% -39.7% 30% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$233
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses747 / 631
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1378 / 1378
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day85.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1378 Trades
no open positions (392 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records