Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:52:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x7996…d982 crypto 818 markets active 20h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (301 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$6,681 (+33%) realized +$6,681 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate46%553W / 657L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day300.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$909
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (301 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 815 -42.0% -47.5% 34% 32% -65.2%
≤30d 1210 -22.0% -29.5% 46% 42% -45.8%
≤90d 1210 -22.0% -29.5% 46% 42% -45.8%
all 1210 -22.0% -29.5% 46% 42% -45.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover300.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.5% 42% -45.8%
10% ← realistic here -36.2% 39% -51.0%
15% -42.4% 31% -55.7%
20% -48.0% 24% -60.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -40% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -40% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -64% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$27 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,681
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses553 / 657
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1210 / 818
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day300.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1210 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $124 −$124 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $115 −$115 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $116 −$116 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $114 −$114 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $17 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $13 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records