Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x799d…bbee
crypto · 574 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$105 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$105 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses337 / 237
Open positions0
Markets (closed)574 / 574
History coverage72d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 574 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$30
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$10 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -7.2% -16.0% 45% 28% -18.4%
≤30d 104 -8.5% -17.2% 51% 34% -17.8%
≤90d 574 -4.5% -13.6% 59% 37% -13.1%
all 574 -4.5% -13.6% 59% 37% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 37% -13.1%
10% -21.8% 13% -21.4%
15% -29.4% 5% -29.0%
20% -36.3% 2% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1321 history records