trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 0% | 0% | -48.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -25.0% | -32.2% | 9% | 9% | -39.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -25.0% | -32.2% | 9% | 9% | -39.2% |
| all | 13 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 15% | 15% | -53.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.9% | 15% | -53.2% |
| 10% | -38.4% | 15% | -57.7% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 15% | -61.8% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 15% | -65.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $150 | $117 | −$33 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $592 | −$257 | -43% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $83 | −$83 | -100% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $83 | −$83 | -100% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $310 | −$43 | -14% |
| Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | Jun 13 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $83 | +$482 | +582% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | Mar 08 | $830 | −$830 | -100% |
| T20 World Cup: England vs India | Mar 05 | $155 | +$84 | +54% |