trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+62%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Down | 7¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -69% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Jun 08 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Jun 08 | $3 | +$3 | +108% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Jun 07 | $4 | −$3 | -75% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Jun 07 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Jun 07 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Jun 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Jun 07 | $3 | −$1 | -36% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | May 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -51.4% | -56.0% | 19% | 19% | -69.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -55.6% | -59.8% | 17% | 17% | -71.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -55.6% | -59.8% | 17% | 17% | -71.6% |
| all | 23 | -55.6% | -59.8% | 17% | 17% | -71.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -59.8% | 17% | -71.6% |
| 10% | -63.7% | 13% | -74.3% |
| 15% | -67.2% | 13% | -76.8% |
| 20% | -70.4% | 9% | -79.1% |