Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:37:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x79b6…dac2 crypto 798 markets active 1h ago coverage 96d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,490 (-1%) realized −$1,490 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate94%747W / 51L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$132per market
Trades / day8.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$118
14 days−$94
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,898
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -0.2% -9.7% 92% 16% -15.4%
≤30d 281 +1.3% -8.3% 94% 18% -13.0%
≤90d 759 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 13% -12.4%
all 798 +0.4% -9.1% 94% 13% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 13% -11.1%
10% -17.8% 6% -19.7%
15% -25.8% 4% -27.4%
20% -33.1% 3% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$142 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

96d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,490
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses747 / 51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)798 / 798
History coverage96d
Avg bet$132
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 798 Trades
no open positions (40 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 29 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 29 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 29 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 29 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 29 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 29 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 29 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 29 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 29 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 29 $102 +$40 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1556 history records