Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79cb…331e
crypto · 290 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$19 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$180 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$180
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses48 / 254
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions78
Markets (closed)302 / 290
History coverage5d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day677.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 78 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$180
14 days−$180
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: 9daplug vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 2 Winner 9daplug 1¢ 50¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+4900%)
Counter-Strike: 9daplug vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 Winner 9daplug 1¢ 50¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+4900%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 17¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+911%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 16¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+863%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 11¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+533%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+479%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+401%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+371%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+209%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 2¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-47%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-93%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-84%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-13%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-13%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-19%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-73%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-31%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-79%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-43%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -851%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $0 +$18 +18504%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $48 +$16 +33%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $48 +$19 +40%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $167 −$5 -3%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 −$5 -92%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Ope Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$9 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -56%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -29%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$2 +326%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $18 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$68
crypto 37% −$129
sports 12% −$3
politics 8% $0
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY No 2¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $1 9h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 9h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $1 9h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 9h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 9h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $4 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 62¢ $3 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 6¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 7¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 11¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 11¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 66¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-39.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -32.6% -39.1% 16% 13% -19.3%
≤30d 302 -32.6% -39.1% 16% 13% -19.3%
≤90d 302 -32.6% -39.1% 16% 13% -19.3%
all 302 -32.6% -39.1% 16% 13% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover677.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.1% 13% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -44.9% 13% -27.0%
15% -50.2% 12% -34.1%
20% -55.1% 10% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.69 · official $40.69 (match) · 3500 history records