Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:06:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79d0…92e5
crypto · 674 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$131 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$104 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses334 / 340
Open positions0
Markets (closed)674 / 674
History coverage54d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 674 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$18
14 days+$25
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +3.1% -6.7% 57% 57% -5.4%
≤30d 645 -12.8% -21.1% 47% 47% -9.8%
≤90d 674 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 50% -3.9%
all 674 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 50% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.5% 50% -3.9%
10% -14.6% 49% -13.1%
15% -22.8% 49% -21.5%
20% -30.4% 49% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1208 history records