Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79d6…afbc
crypto · 54 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$140 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$223 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$223
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses17 / 36
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage11d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$110
14 days−$223
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Up 76¢ 48¢ $22 $13 −$8 (-37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Up 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 38¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Down 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $43 −$21 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $36 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $27 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $32 −$10 -31%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $32 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $28 −$16 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$12 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $31 −$14 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $34 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 08 $92 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $29 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $12 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $73 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $62 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 04 $18 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $6 −$6 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$2 +56%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4PM ET Jun 03 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 03 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET Jun 03 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 03 $30 +$22 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET Jun 03 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 03 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 03 $22 −$21 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$228
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 39¢ $22 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 76¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 38¢ $24 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 99¢ $46 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 41¢ $20 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 38¢ $22 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 100¢ $43 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 85¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 13¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 35¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 39¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 99¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 66¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 25¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 67¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 38¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? SELL Down 8¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-51.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -40.8% -46.4% 30% 30% -34.0%
≤30d 53 -46.4% -51.5% 32% 30% -35.4%
≤90d 53 -46.4% -51.5% 32% 30% -35.4%
all 53 -46.4% -51.5% 32% 30% -35.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.5% 30% -35.4%
10% -56.1% 19% -41.6%
15% -60.4% 11% -47.2%
20% -64.3% 8% -52.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.49 · official $13.49 (match) · 142 history records