trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 08 | $24 | +$4 | +17% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $44 | +$4 | +9% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $16 | +$3 | +20% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | Mar 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5 | Mar 23 | $101 | +$101 | +99% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 21 | $2 | +$2 | +127% |
| Bruins vs. Capitals | Mar 15 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Mar 14 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Mar 13 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Mar 12 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Grizzlies vs. 76ers | Mar 11 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January? | Feb 28 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 100% | 100% | +5.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 100% | 100% | +5.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -23.9% | -31.1% | 46% | 38% | +39.0% |
| all | 18 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 61% | 50% | +38.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.4% | 50% | +38.8% |
| 10% | -21.7% | 39% | +25.5% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 39% | +13.4% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 28% | +2.3% |